I get a few emails asking about apparent contradictions from Microbiome Prescription AI Engine. With the new “Just give me suggestions!” option, they have been reduced — this post explains the root issue of these conflicts. It does not solve the issue — only time and a lot more published studies will resolve it.
Data From Studies
The data entry attempts to keep true to what is actually reported in the studies on the US National Library of Medicine. A simple example, the following are subjects of different studies:
Grape seed extract
Grape polyphenols
Grape Fiber
Resveratrol
Grapes
Red Wine
Red wine polyphenols
It is human nature to try to consolidate information. There are numerous historic examples where such consolidation failed. A simple one is that all antibiotics are the same. In some nations, antibiotics are over the counter — so if you have an infection like tuberculosis, some people would walk in and buy the cheapest antibiotics expecting it to work. It is no surprise that it would have no effect. “They are almost the same” is not an approach that I subscribe to.
The second aspect of studies is that they report on different levels of the bacteria hierarchy, and rarely report on multiple levels. In some cases, the report is only on the highest levels.
And there are strains below these levels
When looking at your sample. You may be high at the genus level but normal in the family and order levels. So data from studies about what is impacted at the species, family, order or class level may be ignored. Some people, including medical practitioners, may consolidate this information and after reading one study that mentions a genus apply that to all related species, family, order or class — occasionally to the phylum level. The human tendency to consolidate information strikes again.
Last, the study may have been done on people with a specific condition or type of diet. Diet is often based on location in the world: India (many eat no meat), America (lots of junk food), China (high rice content). The shifts seen with some modifiers with different conditions or diets are different and sometimes in opposite directions. We may not get consistent studies. The human tendency to consolidate information by deeming everyone to be the same strikes again.
Below we have seven similar items — but very different information on what the studies report on.
Sum of Count
Column Labels
Row Labels
class
family
genus
norank
phylum
species
subspecies
grape fiber
3
1
grape polyphenols
13
3
grape seed extract
1
8
1
grapes
1
3
9
6
red wine
12
28
1
169
3
red wine polyphenols
5
1
3
resveratrol
40
72
1
6
114
6
Grand Total
2
55
138
3
6
297
9
Pivot Table of current data in the data store with explicit citations
While they are similar, there are difference between them that may be significant. One contains sugars, another contains fiber, another contains alcohol — these minor differences can alter different bacteria significantly.
This is why you may see apparent contradictions in suggestions. We a have a mixture of information about your microbiome and each of the above is a sieve of different mesh and fabric.
I choose not to consolidate information. I keep the information as reported. A medical practitioners is not able to keep all of this information in their head. They will proceed to consolidate, and consolidate and simplify – the art of medicine. The Artificial Intelligence Engine is the result of processing over 41 Gigabytes of information — that is likely far more than any medical practitioners had actually read in their career. Is the detail needed? That’s a personal judgement. I prefer to have it. Using AI, I can work with all of the information available without needing to consolidate or simplify.
When there is a contradiction – which should I choose? My standing answer, is avoid the substance. We do not know with confidence what the outcome may be. On the other hand, I often seen suggestions reinforcing each other — for example Positive: Gluten Free, Negative: Wheats.
We do not want to take gambles with our health — keep to where there is consensus.
“Just give me suggestions”
This picks common items often seen on the internet for a variety of conditions. When there are “similar” items, the one with the most data will usually be selected. It gives higher confidence. These choices are evolving as I review the data.
The intent is avoid showing contradictions, and work where we have the most data. It’s a simple best path forward.
It has been a year since I had Covid-19 I started to deteriorate after it and fell into a limbo of not having the energy to do anything and move on with treatment, I have gave up supplements, antibiotics, probiotics not taking anything, even if I had them in stock, pretty dire, even had very dark thoughts from nowhere that life is not worth living. I got cervical instability diagnosis in 2020 and the Covid-19 infection that made me abandon the microbiome manipulation road, a very bad decision when I look back now. I got diagnosed with a possible mast cell disorder, MCAS is much more worse then CFS, I got a reaction in airport in September 2022 wanted to travel to Italy for a consultation, reacted to fumes in airport was unable to board the plane, almost called the ambulance, the MCAS appeared after Covid-19. I am taking a H1 and H2 for it, and used to take sodium cromoglicate but I got insomnia from it, doctor here told me I am the first patient that has gotten insomnia from sodium cromoglicate. The interesting thing my cognition improved but my physical state deteriorated, I got POTS.
I have also started a YouTube channel to share my story and to keep me motivated to continue:
To recap what Covid-19 in 2022 infection gave me and I still have:
-Insomnia
-Lack of motivation
-POTS
-New food intolerances
-Reaction to the environment(possible MCAS)
-Easy bruising(now afraid to take “thick blood” supplements)
-High cholesterol and triglycerides
From Reader
Questions from Reader
First, the site does not diagnosis — it is based on association. What is association? It just means that two things tend to happen at the same time. Sometimes there is a real connection — other times the connection is due to other factors. For example, the number of children in a family has declined over the last 50 years. The usage of the internet has increased. There is a statistical association between the two but it does not mean that internet use causes less kids, nor does it mean that having less kids mean more internet use (which may actually be true!).
Does it show I have POTS, I attached my CellTrend result which is positive for POTS
You only have a 10% match to bacteria seen in other people who have reported POTS. So, if it is POTS, it is likely atypical POTS.
I do NOT see on the CellTrend results any thing about POTS. Was it a MD’s opinion based on ???
Does it give avoid food all casein and lactose foods and nuts, I have attached my IgG intolerances testing
No, it does not deal will allergies. It suggests food that are likely to positively or negatively impacts the complete microbiome.
Analysis
Going over to Special Studies, COVID Long Hauler leaps out!! It is the best description of the current state. This appears to be common pattern of ME/CFS people Post COVID: The signature of Long COVID dominates over ME/CFS. This may be due to the variation of bacteria over time with ME/CFS. With a recent case of COVID, there is much less variation and thus a stronger signature is found.
Looking at the distribution of bacteria by percentile, we do not see the count for each range being close to each other (expected result for a “normal’ microbiome). The 0-9% is only 32% instead of expected 10%, which is less than other samples that I have seen at 60%.
Percentile
Genus
Species
0 – 9
72
79
10 – 19
17
28
20 – 29
14
15
30 – 39
20
32
40 – 49
24
24
50 – 59
20
22
60 – 69
13
20
70 – 79
14
19
80 – 89
9
7
90 – 99
8
12
Below this on the page (added on April 1, 2023) are “Likely Key Bacteria Causing Above”
This now rolled into a single click! “Just give me suggestions” – It results in the short dumb down list with links to the full details. See the video below.
I could start digging into the symptoms and other issues cited above, but with the Long COVID signature being so strong let us not over-engineer. We have a course for the first leg of recovery.
Postscript – and Reminder
I am not a licensed medical professional and there are strict laws where I live about “appearing to practice medicine”. I am safe when it is “academic models” and I keep to the language of science, especially statistics. I am not safe when the explanations have possible overtones of advising a patient instead of presenting data to be evaluated by a medical professional before implementing.
I cannot tell people what they should take or not take. I can inform people items that have better odds of improving their microbiome as a results on numeric calculations. I am a trained experienced statistician with appropriate degrees and professional memberships. All suggestions should be reviewed by your medical professional before starting.
The answers above describe my logic and thinking and is not intended to give advice to this person or any one. Always review with your knowledgeable medical professional.
This is a change from the usual microbiome. The microbiome has impact on getting cancers and on the effectiveness of various treatments. A little bit of recent literature is below.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is associated with gut microbiota dysbiosis. [2022]
The role of the bacterial microbiome in the treatment of cancer [2021]
This person is atypical — they find the markers for cancer, but cannot locate where it is. We see a large number of bacteria with only token representation (0-9 Percentile). Statistically, you would expect each of the ranges below to have similar numbers.
Percentile
Genus
Species
0 – 9
73
91
10 – 19
16
14
20 – 29
14
21
30 – 39
19
20
40 – 49
12
21
50 – 59
16
18
60 – 69
8
23
70 – 79
11
27
80 – 89
33
20
90 – 99
22
32
The new feature “Likely Key Bacteria Causing Above’ show items of concern:
From the Potential Medical Conditions Detected, we see gut disturbances (Gastroesophageal reflux disease (Gerd) including Barrett’s esophagus, Histamine Issues,Mast Cell Issue, DAO Insufficiency) as well as neurological impacts (Brain Trauma, Epilepsy).
Looking at Bacteria deemed Unhealthy, we have the following with significant counts and percentiles.
Remember they are suggestions — just pick items that you can afford, can get, and that you are happy taking.
The list of items to take was actually surprising. It was a large list with all 4 sets of suggestions saying take (over 110!) . The top items are below
foeniculum vulgare (Fennel)
Curcumin
Vitamin B-12
syzygium aromaticum (clove)
Hesperidin (polyphenol)
garlic (allium sativum)
nigella sativa seed (black cumin)
Caffeine
thiamine hydrochloride (vitamin B1)
oregano (origanum vulgare, oil)
Arbutin (polyphenol)
diosmin,(polyphenol)
pyridoxine hydrochloride (vitamin B6)
retinoic acid,(Vitamin A derivative)
thyme (thymol, thyme oil)
luteolin (flavonoid)
kefe cumin (laser trilobum l.)
neem
On the avoid list we have many items which for other people tend to be on their take list
Going over to the Food site, we see the following items near the top: Kidney, marmite, Cream of Wheat. The main reason is that they are high in B vitamins.
I am not a licensed medical professional and there are strict laws where I live about “appearing to practice medicine”. I am safe when it is “academic models” and I keep to the language of science, especially statistics. I am not safe when the explanations have possible overtones of advising a patient instead of presenting data to be evaluated by a medical professional before implementing.
I cannot tell people what they should take or not take. I can inform people items that have better odds of improving their microbiome as a results on numeric calculations. I am a trained experienced statistician with appropriate degrees and professional memberships. All suggestions should be reviewed by your medical professional before starting.
The answers above describe my logic and thinking and is not intended to give advice to this person or any one. Always review with your knowledgeable medical professional.
The key item is to realize every antibiotic make different changes, often very different changes. Studies on the U.S. National Library of Medicine document many antibiotics and their changes. We use that information and the Artificial Intelligence Engine (which is not Machine Learning or Chat_GPT like) to compute the substances that will best compensate, as well as substances that may amplify the changes caused by the antibiotic.
Process Is Simple
Go to https://microbiomeprescription.com/Library/ModLookup and enter the name of the antibiotic. The database contains most of the brand names used around the world. Enter the name, for example: amoxicillin. Surround it with % % on each end. Click [Search]
Click on the name
This will take you to a page similar to below
Click the circled link
The resulting page is shown below
Clicking on Bacteria Detail will list the bacteria that decreases and those that will increase! Yes, antibiotics will encourage the growth of some bacteria.
Below this are the items that impacts these bacteria, Most items impacts multiple bacteria. Balancing the impact is done by the Artificial Intelligence.
In this taking Vitamin B1 supplements (or foods rich in B1) should be avoid for sometime after finishing the course of antibiotics. Similarly with Hesperidin (polyphenol). You may not know what has it — so just click the food icon 🍱 to see the foods:
Similarly with any To Add items that you are not familiar with, for example: resistant starch,
That is it — Lookup, click suggestions, for anything unfamiliar look for the food icon and just click. Often there is no need to buy supplements when you can get sufficient from food. For example, you get 4.3 grams of resistant starch by eating a 100 grams (3 oz).
The cost as a supplement is $6.00 for 4 gm or $30 for the amount that 1 lb of beans would provide.
Postscript – and Reminder
I am not a licensed medical professional and there are strict laws where I live about “appearing to practice medicine”. I am safe when it is “academic models” and I keep to the language of science, especially statistics. I am not safe when the explanations have possible overtones of advising a patient instead of presenting data to be evaluated by a medical professional before implementing.
I cannot tell people what they should take or not take. I can inform people items that have better odds of improving their microbiome as a results on numeric calculations. I am a trained experienced statistician with appropriate degrees and professional memberships. All suggestions should be reviewed by your medical professional before starting.
The answers above describe my logic and thinking and is not intended to give advice to this person or any one. Always review with your knowledgeable medical professional.
When I first started Microbiome Prescription the main and most popular provider was uBiome (dearly departed) which explicitly offered oral microbiome analysis. I had about a dozen uploads. Eventually I stopped support because there was not going to be sufficient uploads, even if I was waited for a decade.
Stomach Acid does not nuke probiotics!
This is a common internet legend which disagrees with both studies and common sense!!!
Common Sense Anyone?
This is the key question: “If you have a bacteria in your gut, how did it get there?”
Assuming that you do not believe that bacteria has perfected teleportation, then there is just one route: Through the mouth, the stomach, etc. It is the great trek!
The trek that every bacteria (or ancestor) in your microbiome must make (with some side trips!). Image from Wikipedia.
Studies Supporting No or Little Impact
There are two German probiotic that are suspended in water, added to water and drunk. These studies indicate that they do survive! In fact, they persist!
I strongly suspect marketing — if you compare the cost per BCFU from Custom Probiotics to your usual health food store probiotic capsules you will see the costs can be 10x higher in the capsules That is NOT the cost of putting them into capsules. In marketing, claims about the importance of capsules is differentiate product to get you to buy brand X and not Y.
People are also willing to pay for convenience. Buying flour to bake a load of bread is much cheaper than buying a ready made load of bread. At our local coop, a custom loaf of bread was selling for $11.95 — people are lazy.
Vendor Distractor?
I also suspect that stomach acid eliminating probiotic has been used as an excuse by many vendors. The likely cause of probiotics not staying around is where they were sourced: Human or Animal. “In general, their optimal growth temperature ranges between 36–38°C and 41–43°C for human and animal origin strains,” [2011] A probiotic bacteria is unlikely to thrive at a temperature 7°C (or 12°F) from it’s preferred temperature. It will likely reproduce less and be less robust (allowing other bacteria to beat it up).
This comes back to my old soapbox: Buy Only Probiotics where the STRAIN (and not just the species!) is listed – and that specific strain has been researched (Ideally for the condition that concerns you. Use this link to look up most, for example periodontal disease), and that the origin is human. I would suggest constantly emailing the manufacturers!!! It is likely the only way that the situation will improve.
Oral Microbiome Is associated with many conditions
” In conclusion, this study suggests significant associations of the Oral Microbiome diversity with certain mental health dimensions such as depressive symptoms and anxiety.” [2023] [2022][2020]
My impression is that any condition with a neurological component (i.e. brain fog, impulse control, etc) is likely to have ORAL microbiome dysfunction.
Going Forward
There are many products available, for example, see this list. They will likely contain one or more of the following. For a bigger list, see researched probiotics here: mouth, sinus and oral.
The “salivarius” indicate where it was first identified (mouth saliva). So it is normally in the mouth.
The key is for the probiotic to stay in the mouth for sufficient time to dislodge some other residents. To me, this appears to suggest:
Brush and rinse after every meal
You could do things like break apart an Oregano Oil capsule or drop Monolaurin flakes into the mouth and hold them there for as long as you can tolerate them…
NOW Supplements, OralBiotic™, [Streptococcus salivarius BLIS K12]
The ideal would be to take an oral microbiome test that reports percentile ranking of each bacteria (against other oralsamples). I do not know of any one providing that. uBiome likely had that data, but they are no more.
I’m male, 5’ 10”, currently 145 lbs, 60 years old. I first became ill suddenly in 1987, with what at the time seemed to be food poisoning or a stomach bug. The nausea, stomach upset and loss of appetite lasted months after, I became bedridden. Dozens of tests, doctors, revealed nothing.
Gradually over time, the symptoms subsided and I began to eat and gain weight again. After about a year and a half, I became functional, but never recovered to my previous state. This has been the course of life since. The symptoms would reoccur, last several months, then subside. With no definitive cause for beginning, nor treatment for ending.
The ongoing fatigue over the years was relentless. I somehow managed to complete a 30 year carrier, and took retirement at first opportunity. Doctors speculated that my work was a stress factor responsible for my condition, and retirement would solve it. It didn’t.
For the past several years, I’m mostly housebound, able to go outside and do minor tasks on occasion. Currently, my worst of symptoms are LPR/ reflux related. Not in the traditional sense, mine is a gas/ aero, that I believe is being caused by severe dysbiosis/ imbalance.
I cite this study as an example,
Accompanied with voice loss, throat and chest pain, severe at times.
A recent endoscopy showed “mild gastritis”. Doctors offer me benzodiazepines and antidepressants, stating my symptoms do not correlate with their findings.
Previous endoscopes/ colonoscopies were unremarkable. Gastric empty test normal.
I have tested negative for SIBO several times. IBS Smart test, h pylori, celiac, mast cell (MCAS), all negative.
Numerous diets, eliminations, supplements, herbs, prescribed medications have brought no help or relief. Most have made symptoms worse.
I did manage to have a biopsy taken and sent to Dr John Chia, to test for entero virus. It came back highly positive, however, I am somewhat skeptical that it could be a red herring. My vague attempts with pre/ probiotics resulted with increased gas and/ or diarrhea.
One clue, on two occasions (1995, 2014) after having colonoscopy, I mysteriously had remissions afterwards, that lasted several months. The speculation, is that the prep somehow created a reset of bacteria/ flora. I recently tried to replicate, by doing a prep cleanse. However, despite drinking a full gallon plus, I ran out of solution before being completely cleared out. I felt a brief improvement, but have suffered with horrid lower gas/ flatulence since.
Not the result I was after.
Initial Comments on Back Story
For myself, stress was the trigger of each of my ME/CFS episode so the speculation by his MDs was reasonable. The 1987 event, and the resulting cascade of the microbiome is the root concern. The microbiome evolves, just like society evolves. In 1987, most homes had a VCR and a few lucky people had digital pagers. Today, very few have VCRs (in use) and almost every one has a smart cellular phone. In 2023, arguing whether the right choice should be BetaMax or VHS has become irrelevant. Similarly, focusing on the cause in 1987 is really irrelevant. It may have been a virus, Lyme disease or a dozen other culprits – it is very unlikely to be relevant to addressing today’s microbiome.
Analysis
Looking at the distribution by frequency, we see an over-population of bacteria with low levels.
The Bacteria over 90% and Bacteria under 10% are a simple statistic to understand. If you have 188 different genus and true randomness then you would expect around 19 in each group. We has 12 over 90%, close, but a whopping 61 under 10% — that 32% of all bacteria, not 10%!!! In other words, we have a massive number of different bacteria at low levels. It is not a problem of a few bacteria being too high.
Percentile
Genus
Species
0 – 9
61
76
10 – 19
20
16
20 – 29
14
16
30 – 39
9
8
40 – 49
15
20
50 – 59
14
14
60 – 69
16
20
70 – 79
10
22
80 – 89
17
22
90 – 100
12
21
Looking at Dr. Jason Hawrelak Recommendations for levels, he was at the 99.7%ile and the very few misses for being ideal.. they were border line.. (i.e. 15.1 versus 15; 0 versus 0.0001). In short, almost an ideal microbiome by that criteria.
hyoscyamine (l),(prescription) – “It can treat muscle cramps in the bowels or bladder. it can treat symptoms of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), colitis, and other digestive problems.” [Src]
minocycline (antibiotic)s [Tetracycline] – used by many ME/CFS physician, and also by me. It has many good characteristics (neuroprotective, cross body-brain barrier, etc)
The above have various risks, and should be review carefully. My own preferences would be minocycline first, then hyoscyamine [because IBS is a factor for this patient]. I should note that using a different algorithm without consensus (Special Reports for your MDs) reports contrary results.
Feedback on Antibiotics
Another freak incident that resulted in a five month remission. In 2011, I had one tonsil that became huge. The other remained completely normal. Doctors were suspect of cancer, and both were removed. Thankfully, it was not cancer. So they didn’t look any further to determine the cause.
But at 49 year old, this was no picnic. Rough surgery and recovery, but it followed with probably the most significant remission of all. It was an amazing turn around, all symptoms backed off, energy returned to nearly normal. After 5 months though, symptoms began to return, and within the year I was back to my previous state
I was on amoxicillin for several weeks after the surgery. When the symptoms began to return, we became suspect that it was the amoxicillin that had done something. My doctor put me back on it, but there was no improvement. Whatever had taken place, was a random-chance occurrence. Maybe the amoxicillin was responsible, by creating a shift in bacteria balance.
I found that Cecil Jadin’s protocol is what I tend to advocate. One of the key reason is that it was it was tuned from many years of clinical experience at the Pasteur Institute for Tropical Medicine for what they termed as an “Occult Rickettsia” infection. The basis of it is rotating different families of antibiotics. The mathematics are simple — first round may eliminate 90% of the issues with 10% being resistant. A different antibiotic usually require a different type of resistance, so 90% of the remaining 10% is eliminated.. leaving just 1%. Doing a third round, takes us down to 0.1%
I speculate that the few survivors from your first round of amoxicillin slowly rebuild . Because these bacteria were the survivors, those with resistance genes. The repopulated gut was largely resistant, hence no effect from this antibiotic later. Think of it as a boxing match. You landed a good punch — but instead of landing more punches, the opponent was able to recover and block the same punch later.
Later, discussion of this story with a well-meaning gastrologist, he had me do a week of xifaxan. He felt certain, based on my story, it would get me back to the previous gains. It made me horrid sick, lasting for weeks after stopping it. There was no improvement.
My preference is not to pick antibiotics by symptoms (or what worked for the prior patient), but from the bacteria results that are desired. Results are not guaranteed — rather, IMHO this approach has higher probability of being successful.
bacillus subtilis natto is the source for a supplement called nattokinase, which dissolves fibrin deposits and also an anti-inflammatory [2021]. It is also available not as a probiotic, but in a Japanese Dessert Food called Natto. Natto is an acquired taste.
Natto: Available in some Japanese groceries stores
My probiotic suggestions would be the following (at sufficient dosage, see this page):
There are a large number of herbs cited above. In keeping with my philosophy of avoiding resistance, take some of herbs for 2 weeks and then change to others herbs for the next two weeks. The question is how to take it? I know that some will claim that tinctures are more effective; IMHO, tinctures are very effective for reducing back accounts!
My personal practice is to take herbs in one of two ways:
Buying them in bulk, organic and making our own 000 capsules. Most store purchased herb capsules do not appear to be organic, often with additional ingredients “to make them better” – which is often marketing hype.
We take them immediately prior to meals so that the stomach acid produced to handle the meal, also dissolves the active ingredients from the herbs.
Taking them as a hot tea. Some herbs are horrible tasting… those tend to end up as capsules.
Many, but not all, herbs have documented dosages with links to studies (which can be informative for how to take). For example: Neem: 120 mg/day, Olive Leaf: 700 mg/day, Curcumin: 3 gm/day. My general rule of thumb is one 000 capsule with each meal.
Questions
Q:Curious to know, do you think there may be an advantage of using this method with probiotics, to deliver past the stomach, farther down the gut?
A: I know this common belief, but have not seen any clinical studies demonstrating it. What I have seen is probiotics delivered as a liquid in water, are documented to persist for weeks after a single dose. That is, the specific strain delivered was not detected before but was detected in subsequent weeks. This indicates that this belief is very questionable. Personally, I tend to use single documented strains of probiotics from Custom Probiotics and follow their directions. I do keep food at least a hour away from taking probiotics so stomach acid production will be quiet.
On a related issue, remember that the gut is downstream from the mouth and nasal passages. The source of bad bacteria may be there and may account for repopulation over time. One probiotic that has been shown effective for the nasal passages etc is Symbioflor-1. There are a few hard tablet probiotics out there (for example, Miyarisan — Clostridium butyricum). I have often just put them in my mouth and let them dissolve there.
NOTE: I will be doing a follow up post on The oral microbiome, coming soon!
This post started out seeking to confirm or debunk the claim located here.
The method was very simple because we have a continuous stream of samples from before COVID, before the COVID vaccination and after the majority of people uploading samples would have been vaccinated. If this massive change is happening then the pre-COVID bifidobacterium count (by lab) would be much higher than the post-COVID vaccination bifidobacterium counts.
My results: there was no statistical significance between the averages
Pre 2020-01-01: Average Count 20380 on 118 samples, Std Dev 98300
Post 2022-06-01: Average Count 26111 on 406 samples, Std Dev 72700
That is a 28% increase when a decrease was expected from the above talk.
I am open data, so you can pull the data and check the calculations:
Volatility of Numbers
I was also curious to see if there was any apparent month by month pattern, so I pulled the statistics for biidobacterium, shown below. It is illuminating to a statistician like me, perhaps confusing or concerning to people with poor understanding of statistics (who would expect the numbers from month to month to be similar).
Thryve
BiomeSight
Year
Month
Average
Std Dev
Obs
Average
Std Dev
Obs
2020
7
32438
131646
24
27929
35826
14
2020
8
25456
43405
21
7683
8948
9
2020
9
13410
19329
17
18501
22566
14
2020
10
84056
148144
18
4370
7390
20
2020
11
18598
34049
9
4926
8197
13
2020
12
10078
17108
16
1841
2718
29
2021
1
68152
172405
20
12436
20675
32
2021
2
101600
163980
30
17289
55509
45
2021
3
57957
103248
17
14482
33774
33
2021
4
21979
42967
30
7700
24436
46
2021
5
24693
51744
56
14257
33608
38
2021
6
28166
84491
39
21465
85762
51
2021
7
47023
105209
39
22620
67229
51
2021
8
60283
82398
43
18427
79784
37
2021
9
62438
92929
28
12002
19635
41
2021
10
13121
29924
24
5922
8565
38
2021
11
11515
27095
57
9996
24966
58
2021
12
28582
80191
17
11498
29919
63
2022
1
15114
28760
38
7076
15149
50
2022
2
24816
59069
32
11707
27202
52
2022
3
10486
23995
33
20243
51539
47
2022
4
10207
21580
57
7916
18288
69
2022
5
33471
82497
80
10304
23719
81
2022
6
23861
60126
53
8053
21994
235
2022
7
26797
109435
40
10709
20439
62
2022
8
67707
132108
60
8085
17190
85
2022
9
13926
17622
28
12635
21332
92
2022
10
9090
14049
45
9627
21171
89
2022
11
10296
19034
39
7293
12150
61
2022
12
3186
6194
21
10887
21390
42
2023
1
10224
18215
41
13302
21612
89
2023
2
10604
22883
52
9103
19781
72
2023
3
65953
78173
30
13566
34256
57
Statistics for Bifidobacterium
My conclusion is that you need to have two things to get good results:
All of the samples should be processed by the same lab at the same time. Different batches of reagents may cause different results.
You need good sample sizes, at least 100+
You need to be very very careful not to cherry pick data (example below)
An example from Thryve/Ombre data above, with a sample size of 30, the average was 101600. Later a sample size of 21 reported just 3186. Conclusion: going back to school caused family bifidobacterium to tank!
This is an update of my 2016 post: Low Iron – A Gut Bacteria Connection. One key addition is that Vitamin A supplementation may have significant positive impact.
The microbiota shifts the iron sensing of intestinal cells [2016]. “The amount of iron in the diet directly influences the composition of the microbiota. Inversely, the effects of the microbiota on iron homeostasis have been little studied….Commensal organisms (Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron VPI-5482 and Faecalibacterium prausnitzii A2-165) and a probiotic strain (Streptococcus thermophilus LMD-9) led to up to 12-fold induction of ferritin in colon.”
“No significant differences were found between the two yogurts (one with live cultures and the other without) in terms of their effects on serum iron, AST and ALT levels.” [2013] – so only certain bacteria are involved. Most lactobacillus do not have an effect [2007]
“we show that a panel of probiotics are not able to respond to increased iron availability, and identify an isolate of Streptococcus thermophilus NCIMB 41856 that can increase growth rate in response to increased iron availability.” [2011]
“we show that a panel of probiotics are not able to respond to increased iron availability, and identify an isolate of Streptococcus thermophilus NCIMB 41856 that can increase growth rate in response to increased iron availability.” [2011]
” Intestinal bacteria compete for the essential nutrient iron, leading to replacement of pathogenic Salmonella by the probiotic Escherichia coli Nissle, which is better equipped with iron acquisition systems, and resolution of infectious colitis.” [2013]
There are two key differences that needs to be understood
Difference in numbers reported (of bacteria and percentiles)
Will the suggestions change?
Comparison of Results: Thorne to Biomesight
The samples were only a few weeks apart, so similar data. The ratio of bacteria reporting is 6x more for Thorne than Biomesight, so the expectation would be similar shifts for most of the others.
Key Difference: Bacteria Percentiles come from Thorne, the other percentiles are computed against a composite of other samples (until we get sufficient samples). The Conditions, Enzymes and Compound estimates are likely unreliable (we compare against all tests and not other samples from the same procession) and we will ignore in this analysis.
Many of the criteria are identical between tests: Outside Range for JasonH, Medivere, Metagenomics , MyBioma, Nirvana/CosmosId and XenoGene. So for people using those criteria — there is no difference between the tests.
The Bacteria over 90% and Bacteria under 10% are a simple statistic to understand. 10% should be under 10% and 10% above the 90%ile to have a balance microbiome.
With Thorne we have 3226 bacteria and true randomness then you would expect around 322 in each group. We find 239 over 90%, close, but a whopping 1577 under 10% — that 48% of all bacteria, not 10%!!! In other words, we have a massive number of different bacteria at low levels. It is not a problem of a few bacteria being too high (which is a common belief about gut dysfunction), but many only have token amounts.
For Biomesight, we have 503, and thus would expect 50 and 50. For over 90%ile, we have just 25, and for under 10%, 108 bacteria. The high %ile is just 50% of expected and 200% of expected for low with Biomesight; Thorne is just 75% of expected for high, but a massive 489% of expected for low.
Criteria
Thorne Sample
Biomesight
Bacteria Reported By Lab
3226
503
Bacteria Over 99%ile
193
10
Bacteria Over 95%ile
212
18
Bacteria Over 90%ile
239
25
Bacteria Under 10%ile
1577
108
Bacteria Under 5%ile
1411
44
Bacteria Under 1%ile
1106
3
Different Labs – Items Skipped
Pathogens
162
34
Outside Range from JasonH
6
6
Outside Range from Medivere
16
16
Outside Range from Metagenomics
7
7
Outside Range from MyBioma
5
5
Outside Range from Nirvana/CosmosId
17
17
Outside Range from XenoGene
35
35
Outside Lab Range (+/- 1.96SD)
189
8
Outside Box-Plot-Whiskers
685
27
Outside Kaltoft-Moldrup
1753
91
Condition Est. Over 99%ile
6
6
Condition Est. Over 95%ile
15
7
Condition Est. Over 90%ile
24
10
Enzymes Over 99%ile
93
10
Enzymes Over 95%ile
673
118
Enzymes Over 90%ile
1131
647
Enzymes Under 10%ile
312
150
Enzymes Under 5%ile
262
75
Enzymes Under 1%ile
183
12
Compounds Over 99%ile
230
100
Compounds Over 95%ile
498
463
Compounds Over 90%ile
684
606
Compounds Under 10%ile
1350
599
Compounds Under 5%ile
1336
580
Compounds Under 1%ile
1324
569
Comparison of Results: Thorne to Ombre
The Bacteria over 90% and Bacteria under 10% are a simple statistic to understand. If you have 3226 bacteria and true randomness then you would expect around 322 in each group.
For Ombre we would expect 59 over 90%ile and under 10%ile. close. We have 22 or 37% of expected for low %ile and 117 or 200% of expected for low percentile.
Many of the criteria are identical between tests: Outside Range for JasonH, Medivere, Metagenomics , MyBioma, Nirvana/CosmosId and XenoGene. So for people using those criteria — there is no difference between the tests.
Criteria
Thorne Sample
Ombre
Bacteria Reported By Lab
3226
588
Bacteria Over 99%ile
193
2
Bacteria Over 95%ile
212
10
Bacteria Over 90%ile
239
22
Bacteria Under 10%ile
1577
117
Bacteria Under 5%ile
1411
67
Bacteria Under 1%ile
1106
6
Different Labs – Items Skipped
Pathogens
162
34
Outside Range from JasonH
7
7
Outside Range from Medivere
14
14
Outside Range from Metagenomics
5
5
Outside Range from MyBioma
8
8
Outside Range from Nirvana/CosmosId
18
18
Outside Range from XenoGene
46
46
Outside Lab Range (+/- 1.96SD)
189
5
Outside Box-Plot-Whiskers
685
34
Outside Kaltoft-Moldrup
1753
129
Condition Est. Over 99%ile
6
0
Condition Est. Over 95%ile
15
0
Condition Est. Over 90%ile
24
0
Enzymes Over 99%ile
93
0
Enzymes Over 95%ile
673
9
Enzymes Over 90%ile
1131
101
Enzymes Under 10%ile
312
165
Enzymes Under 5%ile
262
65
Enzymes Under 1%ile
183
2
Compounds Over 99%ile
230
38
Compounds Over 95%ile
498
236
Compounds Over 90%ile
684
332
Compounds Under 10%ile
1350
248
Compounds Under 5%ile
1336
159
Compounds Under 1%ile
1324
33
My personal opinion is that Thorne is better because the more bacteria reported, the greater the statistical significance of over and under representation. On the positive side, all three samples agree on the shifts of bacteria patterns
Analysis
The distribution continues to match a common pattern with ME/CFS microbiomes, an over abundance of low percentile bacteria. This is also seen with the prior Biomesight sample. This shift is made much stronger with Thorne because more genus and species are reported. It also emphasis the shifts seen above.
Percentile
Genus
Species
0 – 9
417
628
10 – 19
85
82
20 – 29
60
85
30 – 39
42
69
40 – 49
34
32
50 – 59
59
339
60 – 69
26
60
70 – 79
16
28
80 – 89
15
31
90 – 99
21
142
Thorne Report
Percentile
Genus
Species
0 – 9
24
33
10 – 19
32
37
20 – 29
15
23
30 – 39
9
11
40 – 49
9
16
50 – 59
8
14
60 – 69
8
9
70 – 79
10
17
80 – 89
7
15
90 – 99
6
10
Biomesight Report
Treatment Dilemma
The usual algorithm is to increase bacteria with low percentiles and decrease those with high percentiles. When you have a huge numbers of low percentile then the question arises: Do you really want to increase these, or do you want to eliminate them entirely to get them off the radar? It is a valid question, but to do that, we have to make increase/eliminate suggestions on 417 genus. That is not practical (given the sparseness of data and limited knowledge of so many genus). My working hypothesis is that keeping to the usual algorithm is the best way to go. Let the bacteria make the determination of winners and losers.
Going Forward
I am going to build two consensus reports. One for Thorne and one for the latest Biomesight, then use the “Uber Consensus” report on the Multiple Samples tab. The purpose is to see whether there are really significant differences in suggestions between the two sample reports.
Percentile in top or bottom 10% Thorne: 1508 bacteria,BiomeSight: 130 bacteria
The results had 581 suggestions. I did a Pivot tables of Take Counts against Avoid Counts to visualize the similarities between each set of suggestions going into the uber suggestions. I read the pivot table below as indicating that the suggestions were equivalent with 73 items being to Take with no Avoid, and a further 72 items with just 1 avoid. We have lots of choices in agreement
The absence of most Lactobacillus is not surprising because they are hostile to Escherichia Coli. My pivot conference report from 1998 had this bacteria being low in ME/CFS patients. With Thorne, we can get actual numbers (16s numbers for Escherichia Coli are questionable). This person Thorne Results is at the 27%ile for Escherichia and 29%ile for Escherichia Coli, which is consistent with that conference report and the KEGG computation for probiotics.
Out of interest, I looked for the %ile on the Thorne results of the consensus suggested probiotics:
Having the actual percentiles for the strains used in probiotics allows us to tune the suggestions. In this case, we should skip any probiotics with bacillus subtilis or clostridium butyricum. There is no point in taking them. On the other side, you have confirmation that the suggested probiotics are likely to have an impact. I give the Thorne results a big 👍 because you can actually determine the probiotics that you likely not benefit from. The 16s results only report a few probiotic species (with questionable accuracy).
The Extras from the Thorne Results
This person did not see the next data on Thorne’s Web Site — but it was in the data CSV file to upload. The virus count with a few having percentiles. The ones without percentiles are rare ones without data.
Virus
And Fungi too!
For both of these sets of data, values over 90% should be researched. Fungi are of special concern because they can both be treated often and may also indicate a mold issue around the person.
User Feedback
Thanks Ken! .. and yikes . Mold is my nemesis. I’ve been trying to figure if I’ve had mold / moldy house for years. I did an ermi for the entire house and got a 2 which is really low. Recently I did an air test all around the house and it was pretty low minus a car which I knew was an issue and I’ve been trying to avoid. I’m trying to decipher if it’s a past issue and I can’t detox or current
Attached is my air test.
Question: yellow highlights on Thorne. Those were 90%+ , there were some non highlighted 90% + results. Should I only research the ones you highlighted?
I should have a new mold urine test result coming too which I’ll send your way once I get it!
Answers: As a general and very rough rule, count the number of items reported (Virus: 35, Fungi:50). Take this number and multiple by a percentile – say 99%ile, and round up. For Virus and Fungi it is 1. This is the number of false positives that would be expected with 99% or higher.
You appear to have an issue. Your mold test fortunately identifies the genus and where it is located. The HVAC and washing machine hints that it is brought into the house, likely on clothes. The attic appears free of the ones that you are high in. I noticed that Malassezia is not reported in the mold test.
Bottom Line
IMHO, getting a Thorne sample is a definite should do at least once. Why? some of your issues may be fungi or virus related. The difference for suggestions of using Thorne, BiomeSight or Ombre is slight. The differences are reasonable given the sparseness of the data that we have for suggestions.
Postscript – and Reminder
I am not a licensed medical professional and there are strict laws where I live about “appearing to practice medicine”. I am safe when it is “academic models” and I keep to the language of science, especially statistics. I am not safe when the explanations have possible overtones of advising a patient instead of presenting data to be evaluated by a medical professional before implementing.
I cannot tell people what they should take or not take. I can inform people items that have better odds of improving their microbiome as a results on numeric calculations. I am a trained experienced statistician with appropriate degrees and professional memberships. All suggestions should be reviewed by your medical professional before starting.
The answers above describe my logic and thinking and is not intended to give advice to this person or any one. Always review with your knowledgeable medical professional.
My uber focus for the last few years has been on the microbiome. The reasons are simple: relatively rich amount of data to work from, detail tests can be done without a Physician’s Order, and treatment can often be done without a prescription.
In no way am I saying that the microbiome is the complete picture. It is simply the easiest to doddle in.
The analogy of a dice is good to get the entire picture. Actually two dice … because often you feel like crap as a result of a roll of the die in the craps game of life.
Some Sides of The Die
The following are the sides that come quickly into mind, they are likely more
SNP/DNA issues. Many conditions have associations with specific DNA mutations.
Infections (Past or Present)
Environment
Minerals
Vitamins
Organic Acid and Other Metabolites
Microbiome
Epigenetics
Chances are that a condition will develop when two (or more) die are rolled with bad values
Worked Example
I am using Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS) / Myalgic Encephalomyelitis (ME) because I am most familar with the existing literature. The same can be done for many other conditions – for example Autism.
Coagulation Issues can be DNA based (i.e. Sticky Blood or Micro-Clots). For example, I have the Prothrombin G20210A mutation which was a direct contributor to my own ME/CFS
A quick copy and paste. For many other conditions, see this page.
📓 Potential role of microbiome in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome/Myalgic Encephalomyelits (CFS/ME). Scientific reports (Sci Rep ) Vol: 11 Issue 1 Pages: 7043 Pub: 2021 Mar 29 Epub: 2021 Mar 29 Authors Lupo GFD , Rocchetti G , Lucini L , Lorusso L , Manara E , Bertelli M , Puglisi E , Capelli E , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Gut Microbiota Interventions With <i>Clostridium butyricum</i> and Norfloxacin Modulate Immune Response in Experimental Autoimmune Encephalomyelitis Mice. Frontiers in immunology (Front Immunol ) Vol: 10 Issue Pages: 1662 Pub: 2019 Epub: 2019 Jul 23 Authors Chen H , Ma X , Liu Y , Ma L , Chen Z , Lin X , Si L , Ma X , Chen X , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Correction to: Open-label pilot for treatment targeting gut dysbiosis in myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome: neuropsychological symptoms and sex comparisons. Journal of translational medicine (J Transl Med ) Vol: 16 Issue 1 Pages: 39 Pub: 2018 Feb 23 Epub: 2018 Feb 23 Authors Wallis A , Ball M , Butt H , Lewis DP , McKechnie S , Paull P , Jaa-Kwee A , Bruck D , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Potential role of dengue virus, chikungunya virus and Zika virus in neurological diseases. Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz (Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz ) Vol: 113 Issue 11 Pages: e170538 Pub: 2018 Oct 29 Epub: 2018 Oct 29 Authors Vieira MADCES , Costa CHN , Linhares ADC , Borba AS , Henriques DF , Silva EVPD , Tavares FN , Batista FMA , Guimarães HCL , Martins LC , Monteiro TAF , Cruz ACR , Azevedo RDSDS , Vasconcelos PFDC , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Human Gut-Derived Commensal Bacteria Suppress CNS Inflammatory and Demyelinating Disease. Cell reports (Cell Rep ) Vol: 20 Issue 6 Pages: 1269-1277 Pub: 2017 Aug 8 Epub: Authors Mangalam A , Shahi SK , Luckey D , Karau M , Marietta E , Luo N , Choung RS , Ju J , Sompallae R , Gibson-Corley K , Patel R , Rodriguez M , David C , Taneja V , Murray J , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Fecal metagenomic profiles in subgroups of patients with myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome. Microbiome (Microbiome ) Vol: 5 Issue 1 Pages: 44 Pub: 2017 Apr 26 Epub: 2017 Apr 26 Authors Nagy-Szakal D , Williams BL , Mishra N , Che X , Lee B , Bateman L , Klimas NG , Komaroff AL , Levine S , Montoya JG , Peterson DL , Ramanan D , Jain K , Eddy ML , Hornig M , Lipkin WI , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 A Pair of Identical Twins Discordant for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Differ in Physiological Parameters and Gut Microbiome Composition. The American journal of case reports (Am J Case Rep ) Vol: 17 Issue Pages: 720-729 Pub: 2016 Oct 10 Epub: 2016 Oct 10 Authors Giloteaux L , Hanson MR , Keller BA , SummaryHtml Article
📓 Support for the Microgenderome: Associations in a Human Clinical Population. Scientific reports (Sci Rep ) Vol: 6 Issue Pages: 19171 Pub: 2016 Jan 13 Epub: 2016 Jan 13 Authors Wallis A , Butt H , Ball M , Lewis DP , Bruck D , SummaryHtml ArticlePublication
📓 Chronic fatigue syndrome patients have alterations in their oral microbiome composition and function. PloS one (PLoS One ) Vol: 13 Issue 9 Pages: e0203503 Pub: 2018 Epub: 2018 Sep 11 Authors Wang T , Yu L , Xu C , Pan K , Mo M , Duan M , Zhang Y , Xiong H , SummaryPublicationPublication
📓 Gut-associated lymphoid tissue, gut microbes and susceptibility to experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. Beneficial microbes (Benef Microbes ) Vol: 7 Issue 3 Pages: 363-73 Pub: 2016 Jun Epub: 2016 Feb 3 Authors Stanisavljevic S , Lukic J , Momcilovic M , Miljkovic M , Jevtic B , Kojic M , Golic N , Mostarica Stojkovic M , Miljkovic D , SummaryPublicationPublication
📓 Increased d-lactic Acid intestinal bacteria in patients with chronic fatigue syndrome. In vivo (Athens, Greece) (In Vivo ) Vol: 23 Issue 4 Pages: 621-8 Pub: 2009 Jul-Aug Epub: Authors Sheedy JR , Wettenhall RE , Scanlon D , Gooley PR , Lewis DP , McGregor N , Stapleton DI , Butt HL , DE Meirleir KL , Summary
Epigenetics
This is where an event, like stress, causes the behavior of DNA to change. Your DNA is the same, just a “switch” is turned on or off.
My attitude is evidence based action with testable models. If you walk into a physician’s office, it is unlikely that they will be aware with the many sides of the dice. Usually, they want simple “follow the recipe book” cases where what to do is clear.
For myself, I had the luxury of unbelievable, unlimited, medical coverage for a few years. I found some of the DNA issues, and to quote a physician “You are extremely lucky with that mutation, it is very treatable” — I became a piracetam addict when needed. Most people do not have that luxury.
Looking at 8 items above, I ask the same question:
Is it objective measurable?
Can you get the test (willing MD, cost)
Is it treatable?
Do we have actual clinical studies showing treatment is effective?
Is the treatment just symptom relief or remission?
What are the risk of side-effects?
If getting information from a test is not clearly actionable, then it does not help with treatment and not worth the expense. Testing for testing sake is a luxury for the rich.
My Criteria in evaluating new proposed models. “
Many people will advocate that just one of these 8 sides of the die needs to be done for a cure. IMHO, if the model does not address most of these factors, it is likely to work for only a few.
For me, the Microbiome model appears the best to use.
Microbiome tests are cheap and do not require a MD to be involved — Objective
We have hundreds of studies showing substances alters the microbiome
Risk of side-effects with non-prescription items is low
And it is connected to the other factors above well.
Many of the organic acid and metabolites are produced by the microbiome. Thus correcting the microbiome is likely to resolve this I compute many of these using Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes data.
Vitamins and Mineral absorption is deeply influences by the microbiome too!
If you have DNA information, for example on your methylation, this impacts your microbiome and the reverse. Being tested for DNA SNPs that does not have effective treatment is a waste of money. The individual’s microbiome is greatly influenced by their DNA. They co-exist and co-operate. In some cases, the microbiome bacteria can produce anticoagulants and fibrinolytics which can counter some coagulation issues.
WARNING ON PEOPLE PROPOSING MODELS
Over the last 30 years, I have constantly seen people proposing this model or that model. Usually the model is focusing on a single aspect of one the die sides above. For ME/CFS, it was the search for an occult virus that was the root cause of this condition. This often comes out of a need to reduce to the simple in whatever specialty that the researcher or physician is trained in. The wages of over-specialization in modern medicine. Be wary of any model that does not offer a concrete explanation for all of the laboratory results in the literature. Often models will cherry-pick studies and ignore the majority of other studies, or do vague hand waving.
The cause is almost never just one of the above factors, but typically many.
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