Naive Testing of Odds Ratio for Predicting Symptoms

This is a doubly naive test of Odd Ratios to predict symptoms from Microbiome data. For background see New Standards for Microbiome Analysis? This is intended to be a rough demonstration of concept.

  • I arbitrarily picked resulting odds of 1.0 as a division line (i.e. no increased odds). This is a definite bias threshold
  • The percentage of samples for those with declared symptoms and those without is shown below
  • No adjustment for those that failed to declare any symptoms which will inflate the Has Not %

Noticeable cases

  • Mouth Sores: Those with had 17% over 1.0 while those without had just 1.7%
  • Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease  with 48% over 1.0 while those without had just 4%
  • Sleep Apnea Diagnosis: 50% vs 10%
  • Live in house with person with probable microbiome dysfunction: 53% vs 8%
  • Determine age from a microbiome sample seem very possible (with gender being less predictable)
  • Only 2 out of 297 symptoms are possible failures for predictions.
    • Neurocognitive: Difficulty expressing thoughts
    • Sleep: Daytime drowsiness
SymptomnameHas %Has Not %
Age: 20-3093.8980.92
Age: 30-4070.9068.59
Age: 40-5079.2967.46
Age: 50-6073.8351.59
Age: 60-7075.0039.40
Asymptomatic: Live in house with person with probable microbiome dysfunction52.947.96
Autism: High Functioning74.2928.41
Autonomic Manifestations: bladder dysfunction90.9163.60
Autonomic Manifestations: cardiac arrhythmias91.3045.00
Autonomic Manifestations: Cortisol disorders or irregularity86.3650.22
Autonomic Manifestations: exertional dyspnea70.9741.79
Autonomic Manifestations: irritable bowel syndrome74.2468.54
Autonomic Manifestations: light-headedness85.1970.37
Autonomic Manifestations: nausea85.4556.96
Autonomic Manifestations: Orthostatic intolerance76.4358.32
Autonomic Manifestations: palpitations72.7860.28
Autonomic Manifestations: Postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS)71.0859.78
Autonomic Manifestations: urinary frequency dysfunction84.2161.23
Autonomic: Blurred or tunnel vision after standing60.6621.84
Autonomic: Dizziness or fainting67.5738.72
Autonomic: Heart rate increase after standing80.7973.37
Autonomic: Inability to tolerate an upright position76.7741.80
Autonomic: Irregular heartbeats57.8426.09
Autonomic: Nausea76.6054.04
Autonomic: Ocassional Tachycardia (Rapid heart beat)73.8160.54
Autonomic: Shortness of breath77.7862.92
Blood Type: A Positive75.0050.37
Blood Type: B Positive81.0844.46
Blood Type: O Positive67.3739.86
Comorbid-Mouth: Bruxism – Jaw cleanching / Teeth grinding74.8666.25
Comorbid-Mouth: Dry Mouth69.9144.90
Comorbid-Mouth: Gingivits / Gum Disease90.5457.62
Comorbid-Mouth: Mouth Sores17.501.72
Comorbid-Mouth: TMJ / Dysfunction of the temporomandibular joint syndrome59.4925.47
Comorbid: Carbohydrate intolerance54.3917.47
Comorbid: Constipation and Diarrohea (not explosions)61.9445.39
Comorbid: Constipation and Explosions (not diarrohea)58.1817.16
Comorbid: Fibromyalgia74.4242.48
Comorbid: High Anxiety72.8164.06
Comorbid: Histamine or Mast Cell issues68.4466.44
Comorbid: Hypothyroidism83.1971.06
Comorbid: Inflammatory bowel disease37.508.51
Comorbid: Methylation issues (MTHFR)86.5570.34
Comorbid: Migraine66.6742.64
Comorbid: Mold Sensitivity / Exposure58.2132.02
Comorbid: Mood Swings84.7878.39
Comorbid: Multiple Chemical Sensitivity71.4349.60
Comorbid: Panic Attacks72.0036.91
Comorbid: Raynaud’s syndrome (Skin discoloration)53.2320.21
Comorbid: Restless Leg84.9569.91
Comorbid: Salicylate sensitive78.2630.66
Comorbid: Sleep Apnea Diagnosis49.1510.68
Comorbid: Small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO)61.4042.31
Comorbid: Snoring (NOT Sleep Apnea76.1948.97
Comorbid: Sugars cause sleep or cognitive issues76.5637.62
Condition: Acne65.4939.41
Condition: Asthma77.1448.12
Condition: Generalized anxiety disorder48.6515.81
Condition: ME/CFS with IBS75.3467.31
Condition: ME/CFS without IBS80.8268.52
Condition: Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease47.833.75
Condition: Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity77.3066.87
Condition: Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder64.2932.76
Condition: Psoriasis93.3362.81
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Abdomen pain86.2476.52
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Abnormal sensitivity to light73.6854.05
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Absent-mindedness84.4670.80
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Allergies70.5559.30
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Anxiety/tension75.0066.19
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Blurred Vision46.1521.39
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Chemical sensitivity70.6542.72
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Chest pain60.7820.40
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Chilled or shivery60.9825.61
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Concern with driving87.5063.74
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Confusion/disorientation94.4465.47
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Depression69.9254.12
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty comprehending Information79.0470.56
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty falling asleep83.2369.44
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty finding the right word76.7270.66
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty following things75.0063.12
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty reasoning things out75.0059.68
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty recalling information74.8868.58
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty retaining information74.1867.67
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Difficulty staying asleep71.1163.18
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Dizziness91.6772.70
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Does physical activity make you feel better92.0683.64
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Does physical activity make you feel worse72.4466.05
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Easily irritated73.0268.50
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Eye pain53.3315.04
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Fatigue70.0366.36
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Feel unsteady on feet93.3361.10
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Feeling like you have a temperature76.0031.74
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Fever & Chills65.7131.26
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Forgetting what you are trying to say82.0275.04
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Frequently get words or numbers in the wrong order61.8431.45
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Frequently loose train of thought86.1679.97
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Headaches65.5248.24
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Hot or Cold spells81.5560.31
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Impaired Memory & concentration76.1474.01
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Mood swings76.1954.35
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Muscle Pain (i.e., sensations of pain or aching in your muscles. This does not include weakness or pain in other areas such as joints)62.9950.53
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Muscle weakness72.8654.16
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Nausea73.8149.45
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Need to have to focus on one thing at a time83.1670.72
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Need to nap during each day85.4472.33
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : New trouble with math76.0643.07
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Night sweats89.3362.03
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Pain in Multiple Joints without Swelling or Redness63.3340.29
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Poor Appetite88.1044.71
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Post-exertional malaise, feeling worse after doing activities that require either physical or mental exertion75.0968.46
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Racing heart60.8746.13
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Rash63.0829.39
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Ringing in the Ears71.1761.15
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Sensitivity to Alcohol73.2858.50
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Shortness of breath70.1941.20
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Slow to react92.5572.04
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Slowness of thought75.8863.98
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Sore Throat83.9560.48
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Temperature lower than normal72.6239.48
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Tense muscles75.0050.95
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Tingling feeling53.8525.61
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Trouble expressing thoughts71.2253.85
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Unrefreshing Sleep, that is waking up feeling tired71.7370.38
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Upset stomach60.7527.32
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Walking up early in the morning (e.g. 3AM)90.2376.05
DePaul University Fatigue Questionnaire : Weight change64.0032.97
Gender: Female82.6973.88
Gender: Male74.2069.66
General: Anhedonia (inability to feel pleasure)86.3255.28
General: Depression70.8855.53
General: Fatigue74.2971.67
General: Headaches52.2546.13
General: Heavy feeling in arms and legs68.4944.97
General: Myalgia (pain)44.9332.60
General: Sinus issues with headaches85.9074.92
Immune Manifestations: Abdominal Pain62.9452.36
Immune Manifestations: Alcohol Intolerant76.9764.47
Immune Manifestations: Bloating66.9266.53
Immune Manifestations: Chronic Flatus / Flatulence / gas74.2566.73
Immune Manifestations: Constipation70.0466.56
Immune Manifestations: Diarrhea50.0028.82
Immune Manifestations: general malaise71.0269.42
Immune Manifestations: Hair loss76.6771.79
Immune Manifestations: Inflammation (General)66.2856.08
Immune Manifestations: Inflammation of skin, eyes or joints68.5751.72
Immune Manifestations: medication sensitivities.79.4954.83
Immune Manifestations: Mucus in the stool43.4015.96
Immune Manifestations: new food sensitivities74.5257.92
Immune Manifestations: recurrent flu-like symptoms72.1256.40
Immune Manifestations: tender lymph nodes82.9553.88
Immune Manifestations: Thick blood / Hypercoagulation65.5732.43
Immune: Chronic Sinusitis80.7063.26
Immune: Flu-like symptoms94.9385.48
Immune: Recurrent Sore throat73.8562.61
Immune: Sensitivity to smell/food/medication/chemicals69.2355.43
Immune: Tender / sore lymph nodes82.0257.33
Immune: Viral infections with prolonged recovery periods83.5266.38
Infection: Lyme83.6142.25
Infection: Parasite – Other58.1419.97
Joint: Stiffness and swelling73.2641.44
Joint: Tenderness76.1444.00
Neurocognitive: Absent-mindedness or forgetfulness69.0967.75
Neurocognitive: Aphantasia ( inability to visualize mental images)91.9460.69
Neurocognitive: Brain Fog77.1875.16
Neurocognitive: Can only focus on one thing at a time72.3170.26
Neurocognitive: Difficulty expressing thoughts70.1970.30
Neurocognitive: Difficulty paying attention for a long period of time72.0070.40
Neurocognitive: Difficulty understanding things82.1274.98
Neurocognitive: Feeling disoriented68.4244.29
Neurocognitive: Problems remembering things70.7068.50
Neurocognitive: Slowness of thought75.3668.44
Neurocognitive: Unable to focus vision and/or attention70.9351.42
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: abnormal appetite60.0019.81
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Air Hunger65.9839.13
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: cold extremities71.1665.39
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Dry Eye (Sicca or Sjogren Syndrome)70.9054.43
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Excessive adrenaline77.0653.32
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: intolerance of extremes of heat and cold66.2459.28
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Laboured breathing76.6023.34
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: loss of adaptability89.7467.64
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: marked weight change76.8334.14
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Muscle weakness77.2754.99
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Painful menstrual periods94.1269.75
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Paraesthesia (tingling burning of skin)63.0123.15
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Poor gut motility72.2562.39
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: Rapid muscular fatiguability84.2973.44
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: recurrent feelings of feverishness67.5721.10
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: subnormal body temperature84.1552.21
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: sweating episodes80.4357.88
Neuroendocrine Manifestations: worsening of symptoms with stress.67.3164.50
Neuroendocrine: Alcohol intolerance75.7466.51
Neuroendocrine: Chills or shivers65.3127.13
Neuroendocrine: Cold limbs (e.g. arms, legs hands)76.9266.09
Neuroendocrine: Feeling hot or cold for no reason72.4860.73
Neuroendocrine: Feeling like you have a high temperature57.5822.85
Neuroendocrine: Feeling like you have a low temperature78.1352.31
Neuroendocrine: Lack of appetite88.1449.39
Neuroendocrine: Lost or gained weight without trying55.4731.01
Neuroendocrine: Temperature fluctuations throughout the day57.7514.41
Neurological-Audio: hypersensitivity to noise78.6372.69
Neurological-Audio: Tinnitus (ringing in ear)72.9964.51
Neurological-Sleep: Chaotic diurnal sleep rhythms (Erratic Sleep)33.339.33
Neurological-Sleep: Inability for deep (delta) sleep83.0963.61
Neurological-Sleep: Insomnia75.0065.60
Neurological-Sleep: Night Sweats84.3867.94
Neurological-Sleep: Prolonged Sleep84.0645.50
Neurological-Sleep: Sleep Apnea78.6728.87
Neurological-Sleep: Vivid Dreams/Nightmares62.5027.44
Neurological-Vision: Blurred Vision47.3724.65
Neurological-Vision: inability to focus eye/vision54.0232.06
Neurological-Vision: photophobia (Light Sensitivity)75.9159.42
Neurological: Cognitive/Sensory Overload70.2868.06
Neurological: Confusion38.6712.56
Neurological: Difficulty processing information (Understanding)73.3761.92
Neurological: Difficulty reading81.3866.94
Neurological: Disorientation55.2215.73
Neurological: Dysautonomia62.7348.21
Neurological: emotional overload63.1350.84
Neurological: Executive Decision Making (Difficulty making)66.2548.05
Neurological: fasciculations76.5650.32
Neurological: High degree of Empathy before onset80.2047.61
Neurological: Impairment of concentration64.8454.93
Neurological: Joint hypermobility79.2164.85
Neurological: Myoclonic jerks or seizures88.1442.00
Neurological: Neuropathy79.0052.27
Neurological: Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD)52.0023.11
Neurological: Short-term memory issues76.4267.34
Neurological: Slowed speech66.6728.63
Neurological: Word-finding problems71.7970.78
Official Diagnosis: Allergic Rhinitis (Hay Fever)77.3962.02
Official Diagnosis: Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD)80.9053.50
Official Diagnosis: Autism80.0032.49
Official Diagnosis: Autoimmune Disease69.3239.77
Official Diagnosis: Chronic Fatigue Syndrome (CFS/ME)78.8470.99
Official Diagnosis: COVID19 (Fully Recovered)58.9035.62
Official Diagnosis: COVID19 (Long Hauler)68.0058.50
Official Diagnosis: Depression66.6734.73
Official Diagnosis: Fibromyalgia62.5024.63
Official Diagnosis: Gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD)70.6732.19
Official Diagnosis: Hypercholesterolemia (High Cholesterol)66.6719.13
Official Diagnosis: Irritable Bowel Syndrome76.3462.35
Official Diagnosis: Mast Cell Dysfunction39.3614.21
Onset: 2000-201084.7257.96
Onset: 2010-202075.8957.23
Onset: Gradual75.5357.86
Onset: less than 02 years since onset77.0537.15
Onset: less than 04 years since onset80.0053.63
Onset: less than 08 years since onset73.3332.27
Onset: less than 16 years since onset85.1956.03
Onset: less than 32 years since onset88.4162.45
Onset: Sudden87.9562.02
Other: Sensitivity to mold61.1635.90
Other: Sensitivity to vibrations73.1346.49
Pain: Aching of the eyes or behind the eyes70.2139.83
Pain: Chest pain46.6722.48
Pain: Eye pain58.4624.83
Pain: Joint pain67.4653.09
Pain: Myofascial pain59.3225.27
Pain: Pain or aching in muscles68.8753.55
Pain: Peripheral neuropathy46.7715.02
Pain: Sensitivity to pain56.9835.84
Physical: Amalgam fillings68.8939.36
Physical: Appendix removed78.1334.68
Physical: Breastfed85.5474.91
Physical: Eastern European90.1275.02
Physical: Good Air Quality65.2230.88
Physical: Long term (chronic) stress76.6962.75
Physical: Northern European78.9863.54
Physical: Organic Diet81.3660.94
Physical: Pets76.8561.49
Physical: Steps Per Day < 200087.9670.62
Physical: Steps Per Day 2000-400095.2472.36
Physical: Steps Per Day 4000-800062.5043.59
Physical: Steps Per Day 8000-1600081.8232.44
Physical: Tonsils removed59.1834.94
Physical: Work-Sitting85.2977.12
Post-exertional malaise: Difficulty reading after mild physical or mental activity76.9264.66
Post-exertional malaise: General73.1269.93
Post-exertional malaise: Inappropriate loss of physical and mental stamina,73.3168.56
Post-exertional malaise: Mentally tired after the slightest effort83.5475.52
Post-exertional malaise: Muscle fatigue after mild physical activity75.6469.84
Post-exertional malaise: Next-day soreness after everyday activities77.7163.47
Post-exertional malaise: Physically drained or sick after mild activity76.5968.30
Post-exertional malaise: Physically tired after minimum exercise73.0868.42
Post-exertional malaise: Post-exertional malaise76.4271.33
Post-exertional malaise: Rapid cognitive fatigability,83.9477.58
Post-exertional malaise: Rapid muscular fatigability,71.3363.00
Post-exertional malaise: Worsening of symptoms after mild mental activity72.7360.37
Post-exertional malaise: Worsening of symptoms after mild physical activity69.5062.96
Sleep: Daytime drowsiness66.4266.74
Sleep: Need to nap daily80.0074.85
Sleep: Problems falling asleep73.7468.28
Sleep: Problems staying asleep66.9264.75
Sleep: Unrefreshed sleep64.0063.37
Sleep: Waking up early in the morning (e.g. 3 AM)71.2062.79
Virus: Epstein-Barr virus74.4054.03
Virus: Human Herpesvirus 6 positive (HHV6)77.9748.97