Odds Ratio Snapshot: Gluten Sensitivity (Non-Celiac)

A reader asked about gluten sensitivity profile in an email. Here are the results. The short form for probiotics:

  • Bifidobacterium breve
  • Bifidobacterium longum
  • Bifidobacterium adolescentis
  • AVOID LACTOBACILLUS

This document presents the results of statistical analysis on symptoms from viable, self-annotated Biomesight microbiome samples. The methodology for data acquisition is outlined in New Standards for Microbiome Analysis?.

Tables have been refined to display only genus- and species-level taxa, the 20 most prominent entries per group, and associations achieving statistical significance (P < 0.01).

The following sections provide the processed data, accompanied by guidance on interpretation and application. Counts of significant bacterial taxa are included, reflecting the application of non-standard but rigorously validated statistical approaches to extensive sample and reference populations, where statistical power derives from dataset scale.

SignificanceGenus
p < 0.01162
p < 0.001146
p < 0.0001131
p < 0.00001116

Averages and Medians

I prefer medians over averages. Medians are the values where half of the people have less and half has more. If the data was a bell-curve, then the values will almost be the same… with bacteria that happens rarely. Look at the bacterua below, we see that for some the average is above and the median below. Should one increase or decrease this bacteria?

tax_nameRankSymptom AverageReference AverageSymptom MedianReference Median
Bacteroidesgenus27.5482624.26926.905
Faecalibacterium prausnitziispecies12.69512.19611.32912.474
Roseburiagenus2.3242.8571.8091.382
Lachnospiragenus3.1732.7111.8852.302
Oscillospiragenus2.6682.3451.9472.323
Bacteroides uniformisspecies2.8392.7281.5651.903
Parabacteroidesgenus3.1382.6071.7192.022
Clostridiumgenus2.0871.8511.3631.531
Pedobactergenus1.3150.9880.5520.706
Coprococcusgenus1.131.4420.730.604
Bacteroides thetaiotaomicronspecies0.9431.0770.4640.59
Bifidobacteriumgenus0.3520.9550.1290.028
Hathewaya histolyticaspecies0.4420.2730.1540.251
Hathewayagenus0.4420.2730.1540.251
Ruminococcus bromiispecies1.0390.7830.1670.262
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies1.2660.8390.0760.155
Bilophilagenus0.4150.3480.2090.285
Bilophila wadsworthiaspecies0.3930.340.1990.262
Doreagenus0.3290.4880.2950.242
Bacteroides rodentiumspecies0.3610.3930.1860.235

If symptom median is higher than reference median, it means there is more of this bacteria. If lower, then less. This ignores how often the bacteria is seen (we average only over reports). IMHO using average value instead of median will often result in a worse situation for the patient

Bacteria Incidence – How often is it reported

The common sense belief is that if a bacteria is reported more often, then the amount should be higher. This is often not true. The microbiome is a complex thing. In this case two specific probiotic species are seen rarely and thus, supplementation could be inferred.

tax_nameRankIncidence Odds RatioChi2Symptoms %Reference %
Bifidobacterium brevespecies0.578.823.641.3
Bifidobacterium catenulatumspecies0.66.721.635.9

More or Less often based on Symptom Median All Incidence

This is a little more complex to understand. If we compute the mid point for people with the symptom, then if the bacteria was not involved then half of the reference should be above this value and half below this value. If not, it means that the symptom tends to over or under growth.

tax_nameRankSymptom MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Thiorhodococcus mannitoliphagusspecies0.0020.237.913227
Cystobactergenus0.0020.2137.413127
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.3633.8675243
Rickettsia marmionii Stenos et al. 2005species0.0020.3630.3393140
Niabellagenus0.0020.3829585224
Viridibacillus neideispecies0.0020.3927470182
Thiorhodococcusgenus0.0020.4322.9579247
Thermodesulfovibrio thiophilusspecies0.0020.4421.5541236
Oenococcusgenus0.0020.4520.7614275
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4520.1626284
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4619.6765355
Viridibacillusgenus0.0020.514.8488244
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.5611.61017569
Alkalibacteriumgenus0.0030.5710.6899514
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.5810.41127652
Pelagicoccusgenus0.0020.5810.1842487
Treponemagenus0.0030.589.7593342
Olivibacter solispecies0.0020.579.5457262
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.599.51133671
Mycoplasma iguanaespecies0.0020.589.1458266

More or Less often based on Reference Median All Incidence

This is like the above, but with a different line in the sand. Instead of the median of those with the condition, we use the median of the reference set.

tax_nameRankReference MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Bifidobacteriumgenus0.0282.37347.911542736
Tetragenococcusgenus0.0040.44234.41638719
Bifidobacterium adolescentisspecies0.0042.03215.710742176
Hathewaya histolyticaspecies0.25050.52202.825681345
Hathewayagenus0.25050.52202.225671346
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.36168.1675243
Anaerotruncusgenus0.17850.57155.724391383
Caloramator uzoniensisspecies0.0060.51153.91408712
Bifidobacterium choerinumspecies0.00551.87151.99171718
Mogibacteriumgenus0.0220.57145.421151195
Methylonatrumgenus0.0040.541451627872
Methylonatrum kenyensespecies0.0040.541451627872
Anaerotruncus colihominisspecies0.17050.5814324151403
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0070.53137.41486795
Niabellagenus0.0020.38135.9585224
Streptococcus australisspecies0.00950.57127.517731010
Leptolyngbya laminosaspecies0.00450.44125.9698304
Leptolyngbyagenus0.00450.44125.8701306
Bifidobacterium longumspecies0.01951.7312410471814
Vagococcusgenus0.0030.48119.9841403

More or Less often based on Symptom Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankSymptom Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.68.91354818

More or Less often based on Reference Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankReference Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Bifidobacteriumgenus0.0282.37347.911542736
Tetragenococcusgenus0.0040.44234.41638719
Bifidobacterium adolescentisspecies0.0042.03215.710742176
Hathewaya histolyticaspecies0.25050.52202.825681345
Hathewayagenus0.25050.52202.225671346
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.36168.1675243
Anaerotruncusgenus0.17850.57155.724391383
Caloramator uzoniensisspecies0.0060.51153.91408712
Bifidobacterium choerinumspecies0.00551.87151.99171718
Mogibacteriumgenus0.0220.57145.421151195
Methylonatrumgenus0.0040.541451627872
Methylonatrum kenyensespecies0.0040.541451627872
Anaerotruncus colihominisspecies0.17050.5814324151403
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0070.53137.41486795
Niabellagenus0.0020.38135.9585224
Streptococcus australisspecies0.00950.57127.517731010
Leptolyngbya laminosaspecies0.00450.44125.9698304
Leptolyngbyagenus0.00450.44125.8701306
Bifidobacterium longumspecies0.01951.7312410471814
Vagococcusgenus0.0030.48119.9841403

Summary

A large number of bacterial taxa exhibit shifts with P < 0.01 in association with this condition. The subsequent challenge is determining how to modulate these taxa, since the volume of candidates exceeds what most individuals can practically consider. Moreover, for many of the taxa identified, there is no published evidence in the U.S. National Library of Medicine describing how to alter their abundance.

A deep optimization model, such as the one implemented on the Microbiome Taxa R2 site, can be used to inform probiotic selection. This model provides coverage for each identified taxon and infers which probiotics are most likely to shift their levels. Its output may then be integrated with more conventional recommendations derived from literature indexed in the U.S. National Library of Medicine where such evidence exists, with the two recommendation sets reconciled by giving priority to probiotic-based suggestions.

Development of a dedicated database based on Biomesight samples is in progress. The current model uses data contributed by PrecisionBiome, and datasets generated with differing laboratory processing pipelines cannot be safely combined, as discussed in The taxonomy nightmare before Christmas…. Once the Biomesight-specific database is complete, an option for generating (offline-only) personalized suggestions will be added to the Microbiome Prescription website.

Probiotics Suggestions

The following are based on a simplified algorithm using R2 data for Biomesight. These are tentative numbers subject to future refinements. Bacteria listed are only for probiotics detected with Biomesight tests. Probiotics include some that are available only in some countries and some that are pending approval for retail sale.

  • Good Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in desired direction
  • Bad Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in wrong direction
  • Impact: Estimator of impact based on Chi-2, Slope and R2 vectors
Probiotic SpeciesImpactGood CountBad Count
Bifidobacterium breve103.8160
Bifidobacterium longum93.37172
Bifidobacterium adolescentis68.66142
Enterococcus faecalis42.165924
Lactobacillus johnsonii30.974620
Segatella copri24.1660
Bifidobacterium bifidum21.18123
Bifidobacterium catenulatum18.93100
Akkermansia muciniphila15.46819
Lactobacillus helveticus10.824644
Bifidobacterium animalis9.6770
Pediococcus acidilactici6.743120
Enterococcus faecium6.472126
Blautia wexlerae2.621
Streptococcus thermophilus2.2871
Escherichia coli2.2342
Clostridium butyricum2.07213
Enterococcus durans0.622716
Lactococcus lactis0.4782
Bacillus subtilis0.241427
Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum0.171812
Limosilactobacillus fermentum0.1188
Veillonella atypica0.07143
Heyndrickxia coagulans0.01912
Limosilactobacillus reuteri-0.011213
Lacticaseibacillus paracasei-0.03410
Lactobacillus crispatus-0.041313
Ligilactobacillus salivarius-0.0416
Leuconostoc mesenteroides-0.0988
Lacticaseibacillus casei-0.1329
Lactiplantibacillus plantarum-0.1306
Lactiplantibacillus pentosus-0.1406
Lacticaseibacillus rhamnosus-0.1718
Lactobacillus acidophilus-0.211622
Limosilactobacillus vaginalis-0.313229
Odoribacter laneus-0.4503
Lactobacillus jensenii-1.033026
Blautia hansenii-3.61014
Parabacteroides goldsteinii-38.45016
Parabacteroides distasonis-48.84011
Bacteroides uniformis-147.38210
Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron-157.0728
Faecalibacterium prausnitzii-278.227

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