Odds Ratio Snapshot: Restless Legs

This document presents the results of statistical analysis on symptoms from viable, self-annotated Biomesight microbiome samples. The methodology for data acquisition is outlined in New Standards for Microbiome Analysis?.

In my weekly review, I noticed this new study: “Analysis of gut microbiota in Restless Legs Syndrome: searching for a metagenomic signature” Dec 2025 That identifies “a statistically significant decrease in the abundance of Lachnoclostridium and Flavonifractor genera in RLS compared to CTRL“. Just two bacteria. I was surprised to see so few reported. Below you will see my results (all all of the source data is available for download for those that wish to verify the numbers). I was able to get 137 significant shifts

Tables have been refined to display only genus- and species-level taxa, the 20 most prominent entries per group, and associations achieving statistical significance (P < 0.01).

The following sections provide the processed data, accompanied by guidance on interpretation and application. Counts of significant bacterial taxa are included, reflecting the application of non-standard but rigorously validated statistical approaches to extensive sample and reference populations, where statistical power derives from dataset scale.

SignificanceGenus
p < 0.01137
p < 0.001126
p < 0.0001119
p < 0.00001103

Averages and Medians

I prefer medians over averages. Medians are the values where half of the people have less and half has more. If the data was a bell-curve, then the values will almost be the same… with bacteria that happens rarely. Look at the bacterua below, we see that for some the average is above and the median below. Should one increase or decrease this bacteria?

If symptom median is higher than reference median, it means there is more of this bacteria. If lower, then less. This ignores how often the bacteria is seen (we average only over reports). IMHO using average value instead of median will often result in a worse situation for the patient

tax_nameRankSymptom AvarageReference AverageSymptom MedianReference Median
Bacteroidesgenus26.79726.01724.33728.038
Phocaeicolagenus10.59310.8529.36510.564
Bacteroides uniformisspecies2.922.7241.5552.385
Ruminococcusgenus6.6755.5764.3774.823
Clostridiumgenus2.0421.8551.361.803
Oscillospiragenus2.8982.3451.9522.313
Parabacteroidesgenus2.7412.6221.7232.016
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies1.3590.8430.0750.312
Parabacteroides merdaespecies0.8230.7450.2980.531
Pedobactergenus1.050.9990.5530.742
Coprococcusgenus1.1931.4380.7350.558
Sutterellagenus1.3691.6511.2511.095
Roseburia faecisspecies1.2821.2050.5730.709
Novispirillumgenus0.8450.8660.0910.225
Insolitispirillumgenus0.8450.8670.0930.222
Insolitispirillum peregrinumspecies0.8450.8670.0930.222
Ruminococcus bromiispecies1.0150.7840.1690.292
Blautia coccoidesspecies0.7260.9150.5930.47
Caloramatorgenus1.0130.9370.1030.211
Blautia hanseniispecies1.191.0350.7170.824

Bacteria Incidence – How often is it reported

The common sense belief is that if a bacteria is reported more often, then the amount should be higher. This is often not true. The microbiome is a complex thing.

Nothing significant was found

More or Less often based on Symptom Median All Incidence

This is a little more complex to understand. If we compute the mid point for people with the symptom, then if the bacteria was not involved then half of the reference should be above this value and half below this value. If not, it means that the symptom tends to over or under growth.

tax_nameRankSymptom MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Streptococcus ursorisspecies0.0020.2621.69825
Actinopolymorphagenus0.0020.3517.415052
Actinopolymorpha rutilaspecies0.0020.3417.313847
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4713.1771363
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4713.1627293
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.558.51037569
Bacteroides helcogenesspecies0.0020.448.58035
Bifidobacterium pullorumspecies0.0020.498.313968
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.587.21162670
Pelagicoccusgenus0.0020.586.9850493
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.586.81134663

More or Less often based on Reference Median All Incidence

This is like the above, but with a different line in the sand. Instead of the median of those with the condition, we use the median of the reference set.

tax_nameRankReference MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Caldicellulosiruptorgenus0.0270.46279.525721189
Bifidobacterium longumspecies0.0122.23257.18911990
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0080.43239.61608696
Hymenobactergenus0.0080.47223.61832854
Thermicanusgenus0.1890.5211.122541135
Bifidobacterium gallicumspecies0.00352.21204.66541448
Anaerotruncus colihominisspecies0.1780.5320125321331
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies0.3120.53191.224631311
Candidatus Glomeribactergenus0.0040.46179.21282592
Anaerotruncusgenus0.180.55170.624881379
Segatellagenus0.0161.8167.313472426
Staphylococcusgenus0.0040.43167.3943402
Erysipelothrixgenus0.01650.55167.222311220
Porphyromonasgenus0.0130.55165.721721185
Erysipelothrix murisspecies0.0150.55158.921861211
Clostridiumgenus1.8030.57158.325511454
Emticicia oligotrophicaspecies0.0070.54156.719441057
Caloramator uzoniensisspecies0.00650.51155.51416716
Emticiciagenus0.0070.5515419421062
Bifidobacterium choerinumspecies0.0051.86151.49271728

More or Less often based on Symptom Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

Per above, nothing was found

More or Less often based on Reference Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankReference Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Caldicellulosiruptorgenus0.0270.46279.525721189
Bifidobacterium longumspecies0.0122.23257.18911990
Hymenobacter xinjiangensisspecies0.0080.43239.61608696
Hymenobactergenus0.0080.47223.61832854
Thermicanusgenus0.1890.5211.122541135
Bifidobacterium gallicumspecies0.00352.21204.66541448
Anaerotruncus colihominisspecies0.1780.5320125321331
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies0.3120.53191.224631311
Candidatus Glomeribactergenus0.0040.46179.21282592
Anaerotruncusgenus0.180.55170.624881379
Segatellagenus0.0161.8167.313472426
Staphylococcusgenus0.0040.43167.3943402
Erysipelothrixgenus0.01650.55167.222311220
Porphyromonasgenus0.0130.55165.721721185
Erysipelothrix murisspecies0.0150.55158.921861211
Clostridiumgenus1.8030.57158.325511454
Emticicia oligotrophicaspecies0.0070.54156.719441057
Caloramator uzoniensisspecies0.00650.51155.51416716
Emticiciagenus0.0070.5515419421062
Bifidobacterium choerinumspecies0.0051.86151.49271728

Summary

A large number of bacterial taxa exhibit shifts with P < 0.01 in association with this condition. The subsequent challenge is determining how to modulate these taxa, since the volume of candidates exceeds what most individuals can practically consider. Moreover, for many of the taxa identified, there is no published evidence in the U.S. National Library of Medicine describing how to alter their abundance.

A deep optimization model, such as the one implemented on the Microbiome Taxa R2 site, can be used to inform probiotic selection. This model provides coverage for each identified taxon and infers which probiotics are most likely to shift their levels. Its output may then be integrated with more conventional recommendations derived from literature indexed in the U.S. National Library of Medicine where such evidence exists, with the two recommendation sets reconciled by giving priority to probiotic-based suggestions.

Development of a dedicated database based on Biomesight samples is in progress. The current model uses data contributed by PrecisionBiome, and datasets generated with differing laboratory processing pipelines cannot be safely combined, as discussed in The taxonomy nightmare before Christmas…. Once the Biomesight-specific database is complete, an option for generating (offline-only) personalized suggestions will be added to the Microbiome Prescription website.

Probiotics Suggestions

The following are based on a simplified algorithm using R2 data for Biomesight. These are tentative numbers subject to future refinements. Bacteria listed are only for probiotics detected with Biomesight tests. Probiotics include some that are available only in some countries and some that are pending approval for retail sale.

  • Good Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in desired direction
  • Bad Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in wrong direction
  • Impact: Estimator of impact based on Chi-2, Slope and R2 vectors
Probiotic SpeciesImpactGood CountBad Count
Segatella copri52.2880
Bifidobacterium breve43.16170
Enterococcus faecalis37.793733
Bifidobacterium longum37.42180
Bifidobacterium adolescentis28.09170
Lactobacillus johnsonii20.642828
Lactobacillus helveticus14.22441
Blautia wexlerae13.6631
Bifidobacterium bifidum8.5110
Bifidobacterium catenulatum7.5990
Enterococcus faecium5.851218
Akkermansia muciniphila4.13821
Bifidobacterium animalis3.7670
Bacillus subtilis2.132021
Clostridium butyricum1.211011
Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum0.287
Ligilactobacillus salivarius0.0525
Limosilactobacillus fermentum0.0497
Limosilactobacillus reuteri0.021117
Enterococcus durans-0.011814
Heyndrickxia coagulans-0.0156
Lactococcus lactis-0.0352
Veillonella atypica-0.04211
Leuconostoc mesenteroides-0.0657
Lactiplantibacillus pentosus-0.0613
Lactiplantibacillus plantarum-0.0714
Lacticaseibacillus rhamnosus-0.0705
Lacticaseibacillus casei-0.0816
Lactobacillus crispatus-0.1310
Lactobacillus acidophilus-0.3511
Limosilactobacillus vaginalis-0.471634
Streptococcus thermophilus-0.9214
Lactobacillus jensenii-1.131824
Odoribacter laneus-2.203
Pediococcus acidilactici-5.982328
Escherichia coli-28.64012
Parabacteroides goldsteinii-37.48019
Blautia hansenii-39.47419
Parabacteroides distasonis-42.8209
Faecalibacterium prausnitzii-239.335
Bacteroides uniformis-252.6127
Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron-284.92210

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