Odds Ratio Snapshots: Neurocognitive: Brain Fog

This document presents the results of statistical analysis on symptoms from viable, self-annotated Biomesight microbiome samples. The methodology for data acquisition is outlined in New Standards for Microbiome Analysis?.

Tables have been refined to display only genus- and species-level taxa, the 20 most prominent entries per group, and associations achieving statistical significance (P < 0.01).

The following sections provide the processed data, accompanied by guidance on interpretation and application. Counts of significant bacterial taxa are included, reflecting the application of non-standard but rigorously validated statistical approaches to extensive sample and reference populations, where statistical power derives from dataset scale.

SignificanceGenus
p < 0.01135
p < 0.001100
p < 0.000183
p < 0.0000169

Averages and Medians

I prefer medians over averages. Medians are the values where half of the people have less and half has more. If the data was a bell-curve, then the values will almost be the same… with bacteria that happens rarely. Look at Bacteroides uniformis below, we see that the average is above and the median below.

If symptom median is higher than reference median, it means there is more of this bacteria. If lower, then less. This ignores how often the bacteria is seen (we average only over reports).

tax_nameRankSymptom AvarageReference AverageSymptom MedianReference Median
Bacteroidesgenus27.30325.83524.00826.554
Bacteroides uniformisspecies3.0262.681.4982.016
Phocaeicola doreispecies3.352.830.3790.672
Coprococcusgenus1.3541.4440.7390.612
Bifidobacteriumgenus0.6980.9750.1360.064
Bacteroides cellulosilyticusspecies0.8830.8490.070.138
Bilophilagenus0.410.340.2060.25
Bacteroides rodentiumspecies0.4160.3870.1790.221
Bilophila wadsworthiaspecies0.40.3310.1970.235
Bifidobacterium longumspecies0.2440.3360.0520.03
Anaerotruncusgenus0.1970.1850.1360.156
Anaerotruncus colihominisspecies0.1870.1730.1320.15
Collinsellagenus0.1460.1890.0570.042
Collinsella aerofaciensspecies0.1390.1760.0540.042
Anaerobranca zavarziniispecies0.140.1590.0150.009
Anaerobrancagenus0.140.1590.0150.009
Bifidobacterium adolescentisspecies0.2810.3050.0130.007
Oxalobactergenus0.0330.030.0180.023
Bifidobacterium choerinumspecies0.0370.0520.0120.007
Acholeplasma hippikonspecies0.0510.0420.0060.01

Bacteria Incidence – How often is it reported

The common sense belief is that if a bacteria is reported more often, then the amount should be higher. This is often not true. The microbiome is a complex thing. Look at Bacteroides uniformis below, we see that the average is above and the median below

tax_nameRankIncidence Odds RatioChi2Symptoms %Reference %
Aggregatibactergenus0.757.418.524.7
Prevotella biviaspecies1.296.624.419
Bifidobacterium scardoviispecies0.717.112.417.3

More or Less often based on Symptom Median All Incidence

This is a little more complex to understand. If we compute the mid point for people with the symptom, then if the bacteria was not involved then half of the reference should be above this value and half below this value. If not, it means that the symptom tends to over or under growth.

tax_nameRankSymptom MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.3781584215
Chromatiumgenus0.0020.3869.5466175
Chromatium weisseispecies0.0020.3869.2465175
Niabellagenus0.0020.465.2500199
Actinopolysporagenus0.0020.464.4482191
Thiorhodococcusgenus0.0020.4357.4516221
Syntrophomonas sapovoransspecies0.0020.4355.9477203
Thermodesulfovibrio thiophilusspecies0.0020.4452.9480210
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4650.9554255
Oenococcusgenus0.0020.4650.7528241
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4946.3656324
Desulfofundulusgenus0.0020.4741.9434206
Caldithrixgenus0.0020.5236.7541282
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.5636.2906508
Viridibacillusgenus0.0020.5233.7430222
Streptococcus infantisspecies0.0030.5633.2707396
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.5832.4996582
Alkalibacteriumgenus0.0030.5831.6792456
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.5931.6994585
Pelagicoccusgenus0.0020.5830.7750433

More or Less often based on Reference Median All Incidence

This is like the above, but with a different line in the sand. Instead of the median of those with the condition, we use the median of the reference set.

tax_nameRankReference MedianOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.37141.3584215
Bacteroides heparinolyticusspecies0.0030.49114849412
Chromatiumgenus0.0020.38113.2466175
Chromatium weisseispecies0.0020.38112.6465175
Odoribacter denticanisspecies0.0050.56110.51455822
Niabellagenus0.0020.4109.6500199
Actinopolysporagenus0.0020.4107482191
Thiorhodococcusgenus0.0020.4399516221
Syntrophomonas sapovoransspecies0.0020.4393.7477203
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4691.2554255
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4989.5656324
Thermodesulfovibrio thiophilusspecies0.0020.4489.5480210
Oenococcusgenus0.0020.4689.2528241
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.5681.7906508
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.5876.8996582
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.5974.9994585
Desulfosporosinusgenus0.00251.6771.56001004
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.6270.11184734
Desulfofundulusgenus0.0020.4769.5434206
Alkalibacteriumgenus0.0030.5868.1792456

More or Less often based on Symptom Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankSymptom Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.6227.21184734
Mycoplasmopsis edwardiispecies0.0050.6721.115801053
Dethiosulfovibriogenus0.0040.67201335893
Tetragenococcus doogicusspecies0.0030.6718.81206813
Hydrocarboniphaga daqingensisspecies0.0040.7213.814221022
Mycoplasmopsisgenus0.0050.741215501142
Pediococcusgenus0.0040.75101141855
Tetragenococcusgenus0.0030.769.21183899
Propionispora hippeispecies0.0050.778.513481039
Propionisporagenus0.0050.778.513481039
Phocaeicola coprocolaspecies0.0040.787.21068836
Porphyromonas canisspecies0.0050.86.613821100

More or Less often based on Reference Median High Incidence

Above we see that many of the top bacteria identified are sparse, that is not reported often. We then restrict them to those that occur above 50% or the time.

tax_nameRankReference Median FreqOdds RatioChi2BelowAbove
Psychrobacter glacialisspecies0.0020.37141.3584215
Bacteroides heparinolyticusspecies0.0030.49114849412
Chromatiumgenus0.0020.38113.2466175
Chromatium weisseispecies0.0020.38112.6465175
Odoribacter denticanisspecies0.0050.56110.51455822
Niabellagenus0.0020.4109.6500199
Actinopolysporagenus0.0020.4107482191
Thiorhodococcusgenus0.0020.4399516221
Syntrophomonas sapovoransspecies0.0020.4393.7477203
Thermodesulfovibriogenus0.0020.4691.2554255
Helicobacter suncusspecies0.0020.4989.5656324
Thermodesulfovibrio thiophilusspecies0.0020.4489.5480210
Oenococcusgenus0.0020.4689.2528241
Desulfotomaculum defluviispecies0.0030.5681.7906508
Sporotomaculum syntrophicumspecies0.0030.5876.8996582
Hydrogenophilusgenus0.0030.5974.9994585
Desulfosporosinusgenus0.00251.6771.56001004
Clostridium taeniosporumspecies0.0030.6270.11184734
Desulfofundulusgenus0.0020.4769.5434206
Alkalibacteriumgenus0.0030.5868.1792456

Summary

A large number of bacterial taxa exhibit shifts with P < 0.01 in association with this condition. The subsequent challenge is determining how to modulate these taxa, since the volume of candidates exceeds what most individuals can practically consider. Moreover, for many of the taxa identified, there is no published evidence in the U.S. National Library of Medicine describing how to alter their abundance.

A deep optimization model, such as the one implemented on the Microbiome Taxa R2 site, can be used to inform probiotic selection. This model provides coverage for each identified taxon and infers which probiotics are most likely to shift their levels. Its output may then be integrated with more conventional recommendations derived from literature indexed in the U.S. National Library of Medicine where such evidence exists, with the two recommendation sets reconciled by giving priority to probiotic-based suggestions.

Development of a dedicated database based on Biomesight samples is in progress. The current model uses data contributed by PrecisionBiome, and datasets generated with differing laboratory processing pipelines cannot be safely combined, as discussed in The taxonomy nightmare before Christmas…. Once the Biomesight-specific database is complete, an option for generating (offline-only) personalized suggestions will be added to the Microbiome Prescription website.

Probiotics Suggestions

The following are based on a simplified algorithm using R2 data for Biomesight. These are tentative numbers subject to future refinements. Bacteria listed are only for probiotics detected with Biomesight tests. Probiotics include some that are available only in some countries and some that are pending approval for retail sale.

  • Good Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in desired direction
  • Bad Count: Number of bacteria expected to shift in wrong direction
  • Impact: Estimator of impact based on Chi-2, Slope and R2 vectors
Probiotic SpeciesImpactGood CountBad Count
Segatella copri11.2410
Lactobacillus helveticus10.1722
Bifidobacterium breve6.1710
Bifidobacterium longum5.9810
Bifidobacterium adolescentis4.6710
Bifidobacterium bifidum1.6710
Bifidobacterium catenulatum1.0410
Blautia wexlerae0.7110
Bifidobacterium animalis0.710
Enterococcus faecalis0.1723
Limosilactobacillus reuteri0.1430
Enterococcus durans0.1151
Lactobacillus johnsonii0.1130
Lactococcus lactis0.0910
Limosilactobacillus vaginalis0.0331
Bifidobacterium pseudocatenulatum0.0221
Escherichia coli0.0210
Lacticaseibacillus rhamnosus0.0210
Enterococcus faecium0.0111
Akkermansia muciniphila-0.0101
Ligilactobacillus salivarius-0.0101
Bacillus subtilis-0.0243
Lactobacillus jensenii-0.0222
Lactobacillus crispatus-0.0313
Pediococcus acidilactici-1.0923
Bacteroides uniformis-32.2601
Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron-33.3501

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